Monza vs Cagliari Prediction
Monday 19 October 2026, 17:30 Serie A1159 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Monza 30%
Draw 28%
Cagliari 42%
The read
The deskCagliari arrive unbeaten in five away games and sit fourth, while Monza are sixteenth and missing both their captain and their first-choice forward for the long term. The shape favours goals and Cagliari control, with Monza's own home record offering little resistance to a side playing with real confidence.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Who is missing
Always freeMonzaMatteo Pessina: out, knee surgery, long-term · Gianluca Caprari: out, ACL surgery, long-term · Leonardo Colombo: out, injury · Idrissa Toure: knee injury, doubtful
CagliariKevin Carlos: out, quad strain, expected back 24 Oct · Yerry Mina: doubt, calf · Riyad Idrissi: out, ACL, expected back November
Checked Fri 16 Oct, 03:22.
The research
ProThe trap: Monza at home looks like the safe side of the coupon, but Cagliari are 4th and unbeaten in 5 away (4W 1D) against a Monza side 16th with only 2 wins in 5 at home. Monza are also without captain Pessina (knee surgery) and forward Caprari (ACL surgery), both long-term per club statements.
Model shows BTTS Yes at 53% @1.79, close to a coin flip, but Monza's own goal threat is hit hard: captain Pessina (knee surgery) and forward Caprari (ACL surgery) are both out long-term, and Monza have won only 2 of 5 at home this term. Cagliari, 4th and unbeaten in 5 away, look more likely to do the scoring alone than to trade goals.
“Cagliari's unbeaten away run meets a Monza missing both Pessina and Caprari up top”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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The model v the market
Always free| Match model | Best price | Implied | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monza win | 30% | 2.38 | 42% |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 | 31% |
| Cagliari win | 42% | 3.10 | 32% |
| Monza or draw | 73% | 1.36 | 74% |
| Cagliari or draw | 63% | 1.57 | 64% |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.36 | 74% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.10 | 48% |
| Both teams to score | 52% | 1.80 | 56% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.
Every priced market
20 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeMonza
LWLDLL
Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost. 9 scored, 15 conceded.
at Lazio
1-3
Lost
v Sassuolo
2-1
Won
at Lecce
2-3
Lost
at Parma
1-1
Drew
v Udinese
2-3
Lost
at Internazionale
1-4
Lost
Cagliari
DWWWLW
Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost. 6 scored, 3 conceded.
v Juventus
1-1
Drew
at Udinese
1-0
Won
at Atalanta
2-1
Won
v Lecce
1-0
Won
v Internazionale
0-1
Lost
at Parma
1-0
Won
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Monza v Cagliari: the numbers
Always freeMonzaCagliari
15League position7
1-1-4League record, won-drawn-lost4-1-1
9-15Goals for and against6-3
4Points13
1-0-1Home record v away record3-0-0
1.50Scored a game1.00
2.50Conceded a game0.50
1.80xG for a game1.00
25%Clean sheets21%
6%Failed to score37%
69%Both teams scored50%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Monza v Cagliari: head to head
Always freeCagliari v Monza
3-0
Monza v Cagliari
1-2
Monza v Cagliari
1-0
Cagliari v Monza
1-1
Likely scorelines
Always freeFrom each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.
Monza vs Cagliari: FAQs
Always freeMonza vs Cagliari prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Over 1.5 at 1.35. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Monza vs Cagliari kick off?
Monza vs Cagliari kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 17:30 UK time (Serie A).
What are the best odds for Monza vs Cagliari?
The best prices across the books we track: Monza 2.38, the draw 3.25, Cagliari 3.10. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Who is missing for Monza vs Cagliari?
Monza: Matteo Pessina: out, knee surgery, long-term, Gianluca Caprari: out, ACL surgery, long-term, Leonardo Colombo: out, injury, Idrissa Toure: knee injury, doubtful. Cagliari: Kevin Carlos: out, quad strain, expected back 24 Oct, Yerry Mina: doubt, calf, Riyad Idrissi: out, ACL, expected back November.
What form are Monza and Cagliari in?
Monza have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 6 (L W L D L L, newest first), scoring 9 and conceding 15. Cagliari have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 6 (D W W W L W, newest first), scoring 6 and conceding 3.
What is the head to head between Monza and Cagliari?
In their last 4 meetings on our record, Monza won 1, Cagliari won 2 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, 30 Mar 2025, finished Cagliari 3-0 Monza.
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Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.