Rochdale crestGrimsby crest

Rochdale vs Grimsby Prediction

Tuesday 20 October 2026, 19:45 League Two

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1159 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Rochdale crestRochdale 29% Draw 27% Grimsby crestGrimsby 44%

The read

The desk

Grimsby arrive on three straight league defeats and sit just below Rochdale in the table, yet they're priced as favourites for this one. Rochdale's recent form is the better of the two, and with no fresh injury news to change that picture, the home side look like the stronger side on the night.

The model says

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The call on this game Over 1.5
The best price 1.22Bet365

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.22

The research

Pro
Markets the desk would leave alone
KILLED
Away Win (Grimsby) 2.05

Grimsby are the market's shortest price and nominal favourites at 2.05, yet they come in on 3 straight defeats inside a last-5 run of L D L L L (4 losses, 1 draw) and sit 11th, one place below Rochdale's 10th. Rochdale's own last 5 (D L W W D) has only 1 defeat. The form line says the wrong side is priced as favourite.

KILLED
Draw 3.45

The last 4 meetings between these sides produced 0 draws, 2 wins apiece. Rochdale's last 5 has 2 draws but Grimsby's has only 1, with 3 of their last 3 results being outright losses, not stalemates. A level finish is the outcome with the least support in the fixture history.

The research desk on this game:

“Grimsby's three-game losing run makes them a flawed favourite; Rochdale's form favours the home win”

Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1

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The model v the market

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Match modelBest priceImplied
Rochdale win 29% 3.20 31%
Draw 27% 3.40 29%
Grimsby win 44% 2.10 48%
Rochdale or draw 59% 1.70 59%
Grimsby or draw 73% 1.36 74%
Either side to win, no draw 1.30 77%
Over 2.5 goals 52% 1.75 57%
Both teams to score 57% 1.62 62%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.

Every priced market

17 markets
Under 2.5 second half goals Bet365 1.25
Over 8 corners 1xBet 1.18
Rochdale under 6 corners 1xBet 1.18
Grimsby under 7.5 corners 1xBet 1.18
Grimsby under 2.5 goals Bet365 1.25
Under 12.5 corners Marathon Bet 1.25
Grimsby under 7 corners 1xBet 1.23
Rochdale or Grimsby (double chance) Bet365 1.30
Over 0.5 first half goals Bet365 1.33
Rochdale over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.33
Over 2 goals BetVictor 1.34
Grimsby over 1 goals Marathon Bet 1.28
Grimsby or Draw (double chance) Bet365 1.36
Under 2 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.32
Under 3.5 goals BetVictor 1.41
Rochdale over 3.5 corners 1xBet 1.37
Rochdale under 1.5 goals BetVictor 1.47

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Since we first priced it

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Home win 3.35 to 3.10 shortening
Draw 3.60 to 3.40 shortening
Away win 2.11 to 2.05 shortening

The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.

Recent form

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Rochdale crestRochdale LDWWWD

Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost. 8 scored, 5 conceded.

Sat 17 Oct Crewe Alexandra crestat Crewe Alexandra 2-3 Lost
Sat 10 Oct Tranmere Rovers crestat Tranmere Rovers 1-1 Drew
Sat 3 Oct Swindon Town crestv Swindon Town 1-0 Won
Sat 26 Sep Fleetwood Town crestat Fleetwood Town 2-1 Won
Sat 19 Sep Oldham crestv Oldham 2-0 Won
Sat 12 Sep Walsall crestat Walsall 0-0 Drew
Grimsby crestGrimsby LLLLWW

Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost. 6 scored, 7 conceded.

Sat 17 Oct Northampton Town crestv Northampton Town 0-2 Lost
Sat 10 Oct Port Vale crestat Port Vale 0-1 Lost
Sat 3 Oct Shrewsbury Town crestv Shrewsbury Town 1-2 Lost
Sat 26 Sep Newport County crestat Newport County 1-2 Lost
Sat 19 Sep Crawley Town crestv Crawley Town 2-0 Won
Sat 12 Sep Bristol Rovers crestv Bristol Rovers 2-0 Won

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Rochdale v Grimsby: the numbers

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Rochdale crestRochdaleGrimsby crestGrimsby 13League position15 4-2-5League record, won-drawn-lost3-4-4 13-15Goals for and against13-13 14Points13 3-0-2Home record v away record0-3-2 1.20Scored a game1.20 1.40Conceded a game1.20 36%Clean sheets36% 27%Failed to score27% 60%Both teams scored50%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Rochdale v Grimsby: head to head

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Rochdale won 2 0 draws Grimsby won 2
1.5 goals a game 0/4 both scored 0/4 over 2.5
19 Jul 2025 Rochdale crestGrimsby crestRochdale v Grimsby 2-0
11 Mar 2023 Grimsby crestRochdale crestGrimsby v Rochdale 1-0
13 Aug 2022 Rochdale crestGrimsby crestRochdale v Grimsby 0-1
14 Aug 2018 Grimsby crestRochdale crestGrimsby v Rochdale 0-2

Likely scorelines

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1-113% 0-111% 1-010% 1-28% 0-08% 2-18%

From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.

Rochdale vs Grimsby: FAQs

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Rochdale vs Grimsby prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Over 1.5 at 1.22. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Rochdale vs Grimsby kick off?

Rochdale vs Grimsby kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:45 UK time (League Two).

What are the best odds for Rochdale vs Grimsby?

The best prices across the books we track: Rochdale 3.20, the draw 3.40, Grimsby 2.10. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

What form are Rochdale and Grimsby in?

Rochdale have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 6 (L D W W W D, newest first), scoring 8 and conceding 5. Grimsby have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 6 (L L L L W W, newest first), scoring 6 and conceding 7.

What is the head to head between Rochdale and Grimsby?

In their last 4 meetings on our record, Rochdale won 2, Grimsby won 2 and 0 were drawn. The most recent, 19 Jul 2025, finished Rochdale 2-0 Grimsby.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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