Toluca crestAtletico San Luis crest

Toluca v Atletico San Luis bet builder

Sunday 18 October 2026, 02:00 · Liga MX

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only
  • Toluca to win

    71% the model

    Our board prices this at 71%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 45%.)

    1.41 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 4.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.03 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 69% chance all land
1.45

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Toluca v Atletico San Luis, 69% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 71% 1.35 +
  • Toluca (first half) First Half 58% 1.72 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 56% 1.78 +
  • Over 3.5 Goals 52% 1.96 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Helinho Toluca
    Shots on target 1+

    Helinho: 1.20 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Vega Toluca
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Vega: 0.89 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • N. Castro Toluca
    Shots on target 1+

    N. Castro: 0.78 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • D. Rodríguez Atletico San Luis
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Rodríguez: 0.91 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Rafa Llorente Atletico San Luis
    Shots on target 1+

    Rafa Llorente: 0.82 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • S. Salles-Lamonge Atletico San Luis
    Shots on target 1+

    S. Salles-Lamonge: 0.64 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Angulo Toluca
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Angulo: 0.50 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Díaz Toluca
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Díaz: 0.50 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Helinho Toluca
    Shots on target 2+

    Helinho: 1.20 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 2.5 first half goals 84% market William Hill
    1.20 +
  • Over 8 corners 83% market 1xBet
    1.21 +
  • Under 12.5 corners 83% market 1xBet
    1.21 +
  • Toluca under 8.5 corners 83% market 1xBet
    1.21 +
  • Toluca under 3.5 goals 81% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Atletico San Luis under 1.5 goals 80% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Toluca over 1.5 goals 79% market Bet365
    1.30 +
  • Toluca over 5 corners 79% market 1xBet
    1.27 +
  • Under 4.5 goals 78% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Toluca to win 78% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 76% market BetVictor
    1.33 +
  • Atletico San Luis under 4.5 corners 76% market 1xBet
    1.32 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.