ST Johnstone crestMotherwell crest

ST Johnstone v Motherwell bet builder

Wednesday 28 October 2026, 19:45 · Scottish Premiership

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

  • ST Johnstone or draw

    73% the model

    Our board prices this at 73%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.37 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.14 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 64% chance all land
1.57

Built from the bookmakers' prices for ST Johnstone v Motherwell, 64% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 75% 1.25 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 70% 1.31 +
  • Motherwell or Draw Double Chance 60% 1.62 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • E. Alić ST Johnstone
    Shots on target 1+

    E. Alić: 0.80 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Fowler ST Johnstone
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Fowler: 0.75 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • R. Paton ST Johnstone
    Shots on target 1+

    R. Paton: 0.71 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • S. Palmer-Houlden Motherwell
    Shots on target 1+

    S. Palmer-Houlden: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 10.5 Match Corners 49%
    Corners: ST Johnstone avg 3.3 for/7.1 against, Motherwell avg 4.4 for/6.3 against so expected 10.6 match corners
  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 73%
    Corners: ST Johnstone avg 3.3 for/7.1 against, Motherwell avg 4.4 for/6.3 against so expected 10.6 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 57%
    Cards: ST Johnstone avg 1.6/game, Motherwell avg 1.4/game so expected 3.0 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 79%
    Cards: ST Johnstone avg 1.6/game, Motherwell avg 1.4/game so expected 3.0 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 56%
    Fouls: ST Johnstone avg 11.0/game, Motherwell avg 10.3/game so expected 21.3 match fouls
  • Over 18.5 Match Fouls 72%
    Fouls: ST Johnstone avg 11.0/game, Motherwell avg 10.3/game so expected 21.3 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 43%
    Shots: ST Johnstone avg 9.9/game, Motherwell avg 12.0/game so expected 21.9 match shots
  • Over 18.5 Match Shots 76%
    Shots: ST Johnstone avg 9.9/game, Motherwell avg 12.0/game so expected 21.9 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Over 0.5 second half goals 85% market William Hill
    1.22 +
  • ST Johnstone over 0.5 goals 85% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 81% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Under 2 second half goals 80% market Marathon Bet
    1.25 +
  • ST Johnstone under 2 goals 80% market Marathon Bet
    1.25 +
  • ST Johnstone or Motherwell (double chance) 78% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Under 3.5 goals 78% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Motherwell over 0.5 goals 78% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 75% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • ST Johnstone or Draw (double chance) 74% market William Hill
    1.36 +
  • Under 1.5 first half goals 71% market William Hill
    1.44 +
  • Motherwell under 1.5 goals 69% market Bet365
    1.44 +

More fixtures

All previews ›
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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.