Sevilla crestOsasuna crest

Sevilla v Osasuna bet builder

Monday 26 October 2026, 20:00 · La Liga

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Sevilla or draw

    78% the model

    Record this market has landed 83% across 273 graded picks

    Our board prices this at 78%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.29 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 3.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.07 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 73% chance all land
1.37

The model puts this 2-leg build at 73% combined for Sevilla v Osasuna. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 74% 1.35 +
  • Osasuna or Draw Double Chance 55% 1.85 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • A. Budimir Osasuna
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Budimir: 1.63 shots on target a game over 8 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 1 games (66 min), 14% weight

  • Miguel Ángel Sevilla
    Shots on target 1+

    Miguel Ángel: 0.63 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Raúl García Osasuna
    Shots on target 1+

    Raúl García: 0.75 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Y. Fofana Sevilla
    Shots on target 1+

    Y. Fofana: 0.60 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Juan Iglesias Sevilla
    Shots on target 1+

    Juan Iglesias: 0.50 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Rubén García Osasuna
    Shots on target 1+

    Rubén García: 0.50 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Budimir Osasuna
    Shots on target 2+

    A. Budimir: 1.63 shots on target a game over 8 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 1 games (66 min), 14% weight

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 32%
    Corners: Sevilla avg 3.2 for/3.2 against, Osasuna avg 3.9 for/4.4 against so expected 7.3 match corners
  • Over 5.5 Match Corners 74%
    Corners: Sevilla avg 3.2 for/3.2 against, Osasuna avg 3.9 for/4.4 against so expected 7.3 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards 61%
    Cards: Sevilla avg 2.9/game, Osasuna avg 2.4/game so expected 5.3 match cards
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 77%
    Cards: Sevilla avg 2.9/game, Osasuna avg 2.4/game so expected 5.3 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 66%
    Fouls: Sevilla avg 12.5/game, Osasuna avg 14.3/game so expected 26.8 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Sevilla avg 12.5/game, Osasuna avg 14.3/game so expected 26.8 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 19%
    Shots: Sevilla avg 8.7/game, Osasuna avg 10.1/game so expected 18.8 match shots

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Sevilla over 0.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Sevilla or Draw (double chance) 82% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Under 3.5 goals 82% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Under 2 second half goals 82% market Marathon Bet
    1.22 +
  • Sevilla or Osasuna (double chance) 80% market William Hill
    1.33 +
  • Osasuna under 1.5 goals 80% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Over 0.5 second half goals 79% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Sevilla under 2 goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.28 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 76% market BetVictor
    1.37 +
  • Under 1.5 first half goals 75% market BetVictor
    1.34 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 69% market BetVictor
    1.45 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.