Santos v Palmeiras bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
No record in this league yet, the market's prices only-
1.11 +
Palmeiras or draw
80%+ the modelThe pre-match read for this game is double chance, Palmeiras or draw (90%).
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1.14 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelGoals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
Built from the bookmakers' prices for Santos v Palmeiras, 79% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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Maurício PalmeirasShots on target 1+
Maurício: 0.80 shots on target a game over 25 games [WC form: 2.73/90 over 2 games (99 min), 19% weight
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Gabriel Barbosa SantosShots on target 1+
Gabriel Barbosa: 0.86 shots on target a game over 22 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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J. López PalmeirasShots on target 1+
J. López: 0.85 shots on target a game over 27 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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J. Arias PalmeirasShots on target 1+
J. Arias: 0.71 shots on target a game over 24 games [WC form: 1.07/90 over 2 games (169 min), 29% weight
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Allan PalmeirasShots on target 1+
Allan: 0.71 shots on target a game over 21 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Á. Barreal SantosShots on target 1+
Á. Barreal: 0.58 shots on target a game over 24 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Gabriel Barbosa SantosAnytime scorer
Gabriel Barbosa: 0.64 goals a game over 22 games, home against a side conceding 0.70 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 10.5 Match Corners 51%Corners: Santos avg 6.4 for/4.5 against, Palmeiras avg 6.0 for/4.6 against so expected 10.8 match corners
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Over 8.5 Match Corners 75%Corners: Santos avg 6.4 for/4.5 against, Palmeiras avg 6.0 for/4.6 against so expected 10.8 match corners; the safer line
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Over 4.5 Match Cards 58%Cards: Santos avg 2.5/game, Palmeiras avg 2.6/game so expected 5.1 match cards
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Over 3.5 Match Cards 75%Cards: Santos avg 2.5/game, Palmeiras avg 2.6/game so expected 5.1 match cards; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Fouls 49%Fouls: Santos avg 11.6/game, Palmeiras avg 12.9/game so expected 24.5 match fouls
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 79%Fouls: Santos avg 11.6/game, Palmeiras avg 12.9/game so expected 24.5 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 26.5 Match Shots 76%Shots: Santos avg 12.3/game, Palmeiras avg 18.2/game so expected 30.5 match shots
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Santos avg 12.3/game, Palmeiras avg 18.2/game so expected 30.5 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.