Rayo Vallecano crestCelta Vigo crest

Rayo Vallecano v Celta Vigo bet builder

Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:15 · La Liga

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record

  • Rayo Vallecano or draw

    75% the model

    Record this market has landed 83% across 274 graded picks

    Our board prices this at 75%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 70%.)

    1.33 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.14 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 66% chance all land
1.52

The model puts this 2-leg build at 66% combined for Rayo Vallecano v Celta Vigo. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 75% 1.31 +
  • Celta Vigo or Draw Double Chance 58% 1.71 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Sergio Camello Rayo Vallecano
    Shots on target 1+

    Sergio Camello: 1.38 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Sergio Camello Rayo Vallecano
    Shots on target 2+

    Sergio Camello: 1.38 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Álvaro García Rayo Vallecano
    Shots on target 1+

    Álvaro García: 0.50 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Jorge de Frutos Rayo Vallecano
    Shots on target 1+

    Jorge de Frutos: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 53%
    Corners: Rayo Vallecano avg 3.8 for/6.3 against, Celta Vigo avg 3.6 for/4.2 against so expected 8.9 match corners
  • Over 6.5 Match Corners 78%
    Corners: Rayo Vallecano avg 3.8 for/6.3 against, Celta Vigo avg 3.6 for/4.2 against so expected 8.9 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards 56%
    Cards: Rayo Vallecano avg 3.0/game, Celta Vigo avg 2.0/game so expected 5.0 match cards
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 73%
    Cards: Rayo Vallecano avg 3.0/game, Celta Vigo avg 2.0/game so expected 5.0 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 45%
    Fouls: Rayo Vallecano avg 11.8/game, Celta Vigo avg 12.3/game so expected 24.0 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 76%
    Fouls: Rayo Vallecano avg 11.8/game, Celta Vigo avg 12.3/game so expected 24.0 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 36%
    Shots: Rayo Vallecano avg 11.6/game, Celta Vigo avg 9.4/game so expected 21.0 match shots
  • Over 16.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Rayo Vallecano avg 11.6/game, Celta Vigo avg 9.4/game so expected 21.0 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Rayo Vallecano under 2.5 goals 85% market Marathon Bet
    1.18 +
  • Rayo Vallecano over 0.5 goals 83% market Pinnacle
    1.24 +
  • Under 2 second half goals 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.24 +
  • Over 0.5 second half goals 80% market William Hill
    1.29 +
  • Under 3.5 goals 80% market Marathon Bet
    1.25 +
  • Rayo Vallecano or Draw (double chance) 77% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 77% market Pinnacle
    1.32 +
  • Rayo Vallecano or Celta Vigo (double chance) 75% market William Hill
    1.33 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 74% market William Hill
    1.36 +
  • Under 1.5 first half goals 73% market William Hill
    1.40 +
  • Celta Vigo under 1.5 goals 73% market Marathon Bet
    1.40 +
  • Celta Vigo over 0.5 goals 72% market Pinnacle
    1.39 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.