Cruz Azul crestFC Juarez crest

Cruz Azul v FC Juarez bet builder

Sunday 18 October 2026, 04:10 · Liga MX

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

  • Cruz Azul to win

    71% the model

    Our board prices this at 71%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 45%.)

    1.41 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 4.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.07 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 67% chance all land
1.50

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Cruz Azul v FC Juarez, 67% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 74% 1.27 +
  • Cruz Azul (first half) First Half 58% 1.69 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 57% 1.60 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • N. Ibáñez Cruz Azul
    Shots on target 1+

    N. Ibáñez: 1.36 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • G. Fernández Cruz Azul
    Shots on target 1+

    G. Fernández: 1.09 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Ó. Estupiñán FC Juarez
    Shots on target 1+

    Ó. Estupiñán: 1.00 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Palavecino Cruz Azul
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Palavecino: 0.80 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Paradela Cruz Azul
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Paradela: 0.70 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Ó. Estupiñán FC Juarez
    Anytime scorer

    Ó. Estupiñán: 0.55 goals a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 2.40 a game

  • J. Márquez Cruz Azul
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Márquez: 0.60 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • N. Ibáñez Cruz Azul
    Shots on target 2+

    N. Ibáñez: 1.36 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • N. Ibáñez Cruz Azul
    Anytime scorer

    N. Ibáñez: 0.36 goals a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 2.40 a game

  • G. Fernández Cruz Azul
    Anytime scorer

    G. Fernández: 0.36 goals a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 2.40 a game

  • J. Paradela Cruz Azul
    Anytime assist

    J. Paradela on 0.50 assists/match (10 apps, 23 key passes), match xG 2.66

  • D. García FC Juarez
    To be carded

    D. García (Midfielder) on 0.40 yellows/match (10 apps), pos-mult 1.20

  • C. Rodríguez Cruz Azul
    Anytime assist

    C. Rodríguez on 0.45 assists/match (11 apps, 41 key passes), match xG 2.66

  • J. Márquez Cruz Azul
    Anytime scorer

    J. Márquez: 0.30 goals a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 2.40 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 11.5 Match Corners 59%
    Corners: Cruz Azul avg 5.9 for/4.1 against, FC Juarez avg 5.4 for/9.6 against so expected 12.5 match corners
  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 80%+
    Corners: Cruz Azul avg 5.9 for/4.1 against, FC Juarez avg 5.4 for/9.6 against so expected 12.5 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards 52%
    Cards: Cruz Azul avg 1.6/game, FC Juarez avg 3.2/game so expected 4.8 match cards
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Cruz Azul avg 1.6/game, FC Juarez avg 3.2/game so expected 4.8 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 51%
    Fouls: Cruz Azul avg 11.3/game, FC Juarez avg 13.6/game so expected 24.9 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Cruz Azul avg 11.3/game, FC Juarez avg 13.6/game so expected 24.9 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Cruz Azul avg 22.5/game, FC Juarez avg 10.2/game so expected 32.7 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Cruz Azul avg 22.5/game, FC Juarez avg 10.2/game so expected 32.7 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Over 0.5 first half goals 85% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Under 4.5 goals 84% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • FC Juarez under 5 corners 84% market 1xBet
    1.19 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 83% market Marathon Bet
    1.21 +
  • Under 13 corners 83% market 1xBet
    1.21 +
  • Cruz Azul under 3.5 goals 82% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Over 8.5 corners 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.24 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.24 +
  • Cruz Azul to win 80% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 80% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Cruz Azul over 1.5 goals 78% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Under 4 goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.28 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.