Casa Pia v Sporting CP bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
No record in this league yet, the market's prices only-
2.00 +
Sporting CP to win
50% the modelAPI-Football model rates this 50% (advice: Winner : Sporting CP).
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1.03 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelGoals: the sides' goal rates read 1.50 and 5.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
Built from the bookmakers' prices for Casa Pia v Sporting CP, 49% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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L. Suárez Sporting CPShots on target 1+
L. Suárez: 1.13 shots on target a game over 8 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 2 games (110 min), 21% weight
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Flávio Gonçalves Sporting CPShots on target 1+
Flávio Gonçalves: 0.86 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Geny Catamo Sporting CPShots on target 1+
Geny Catamo: 0.63 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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M. Araújo Sporting CPShots on target 1+
M. Araújo: 0.43 shots on target a game over 7 games [WC form: 1.05/90 over 2 games (171 min), 29% weight
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R. Zalazar Sporting CPShots on target 1+
R. Zalazar: 0.50 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 8.5 Match Corners 41%Corners: Casa Pia avg 3.6 for/4.9 against, Sporting CP avg 3.4 for/4.1 against so expected 8.0 match corners
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Over 5.5 Match Corners 80%+Corners: Casa Pia avg 3.6 for/4.9 against, Sporting CP avg 3.4 for/4.1 against so expected 8.0 match corners; the safer line
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Over 4.5 Match Cards 43%Cards: Casa Pia avg 2.3/game, Sporting CP avg 2.0/game so expected 4.3 match cards
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Over 2.5 Match Cards 80%+Cards: Casa Pia avg 2.3/game, Sporting CP avg 2.0/game so expected 4.3 match cards; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Fouls 57%Fouls: Casa Pia avg 13.9/game, Sporting CP avg 11.7/game so expected 25.6 match fouls
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: Casa Pia avg 13.9/game, Sporting CP avg 11.7/game so expected 25.6 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 44%Shots: Casa Pia avg 8.9/game, Sporting CP avg 13.1/game so expected 21.9 match shots
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Over 18.5 Match Shots 76%Shots: Casa Pia avg 8.9/game, Sporting CP avg 13.1/game so expected 21.9 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.