Barcelona v Alaves bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
On the record-
1.40 +
Barcelona to win
71% the modelRecord this market has landed 71% across 196 graded picks
Our board prices this at 71%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 45%.)
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1.07 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelRecord this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks
Goals: the sides' goal rates read 4.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
The model puts this 2-leg build at 67% combined for Barcelona v Alaves. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.
Alternative picks
- Barcelona (first half) First Half 68% 1.47 +
- Over 3.5 Goals 61% 1.64 +
- Under 4.5 Goals 60% 1.62 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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Lamine Yamal BarcelonaShots on target 1+
Lamine Yamal: 1.78 shots on target a game over 9 games [WC form: 1.49/90 over 2 games (121 min), 22% weight
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Fermín BarcelonaShots on target 1+
Fermín: 1.13 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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L. Boyé AlavesShots on target 1+
L. Boyé: 1.00 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Lamine Yamal BarcelonaShots on target 2+
Lamine Yamal: 1.78 shots on target a game over 9 games [WC form: 1.49/90 over 2 games (121 min), 22% weight
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Angel Pérez AlavesShots on target 1+
Angel Pérez: 0.63 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Fermín BarcelonaShots on target 2+
Fermín: 1.13 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 9.5 Match Corners 45%Corners: Barcelona avg 7.0 for/3.1 against, Alaves avg 4.1 for/4.4 against so expected 9.3 match corners
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Over 6.5 Match Corners 80%+Corners: Barcelona avg 7.0 for/3.1 against, Alaves avg 4.1 for/4.4 against so expected 9.3 match corners; the safer line
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Over 3.5 Match Cards 42%Cards: Barcelona avg 1.5/game, Alaves avg 1.8/game so expected 3.3 match cards
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Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+Cards: Barcelona avg 1.5/game, Alaves avg 1.8/game so expected 3.3 match cards; the safer line
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Over 22.5 Match Fouls 56%Fouls: Barcelona avg 9.7/game, Alaves avg 13.7/game so expected 23.4 match fouls
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Over 18.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: Barcelona avg 9.7/game, Alaves avg 13.7/game so expected 23.4 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 26.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Barcelona avg 19.7/game, Alaves avg 12.4/game so expected 32.1 match shots
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Barcelona avg 19.7/game, Alaves avg 12.4/game so expected 32.1 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Over 2.5 goals 83% market Betano1.26 +
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Under 5.5 goals 82% market Betano1.28 +
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Over 1 first half goals 81% market Marathon Bet1.27 +
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Barcelona under 4.5 goals 80% market Betano1.28 +
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Under 2.5 first half goals 77% market William Hill1.30 +
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Over 3 goals 77% market Marathon Bet1.31 +
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Under 3 second half goals 77% market Marathon Bet1.30 +
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Alaves under 1 goals 77% market Marathon Bet1.43 +
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Over 3 goals 77% market Pinnacle1.30 +
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Barcelona to win the second half 76% market William Hill1.36 +
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Barcelona under 4 goals 74% market Marathon Bet1.39 +
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Over 1.5 second half goals 71% market William Hill1.44 +
More fixtures
All previews ›
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.