Aberdeen crestFalkirk crest

Aberdeen v Falkirk bet builder

Wednesday 28 October 2026, 19:45 · Scottish Premiership

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

  • Falkirk or draw

    55% the model

    Our board prices this at 55%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.83 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    76% the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.

    1.31 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 42% chance all land
2.40

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Aberdeen v Falkirk, 42% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Aberdeen or Draw Double Chance 76% 1.26 +
  • Over 1.5 Goals 75% 1.25 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 70% 1.31 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • K. Nisbet Aberdeen
    Shots on target 1+

    K. Nisbet: 1.33 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Owen Eames Falkirk
    Shots on target 1+

    Owen Eames: 0.80 shots on target a game over 5 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • K. Nisbet Aberdeen
    Shots on target 2+

    K. Nisbet: 1.33 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 10.5 Match Corners 52%
    Corners: Aberdeen avg 5.4 for/6.6 against, Falkirk avg 4.3 for/5.4 against so expected 10.8 match corners
  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 75%
    Corners: Aberdeen avg 5.4 for/6.6 against, Falkirk avg 4.3 for/5.4 against so expected 10.8 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards 54%
    Cards: Aberdeen avg 2.8/game, Falkirk avg 2.1/game so expected 4.9 match cards
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 72%
    Cards: Aberdeen avg 2.8/game, Falkirk avg 2.1/game so expected 4.9 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 69%
    Fouls: Aberdeen avg 12.1/game, Falkirk avg 15.1/game so expected 27.2 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Aberdeen avg 12.1/game, Falkirk avg 15.1/game so expected 27.2 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 49%
    Shots: Aberdeen avg 11.8/game, Falkirk avg 10.7/game so expected 22.5 match shots
  • Over 18.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Aberdeen avg 11.8/game, Falkirk avg 10.7/game so expected 22.5 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Over 0.5 second half goals 85% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 81% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Aberdeen or Draw (double chance) 80% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Under 2 second half goals 80% market Marathon Bet
    1.25 +
  • Aberdeen or Falkirk (double chance) 79% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Under 3.5 goals 78% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Aberdeen under 2 goals 76% market Marathon Bet
    1.31 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 75% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Falkirk under 1.5 goals 75% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Aberdeen over 1 goals 75% market Marathon Bet
    1.33 +
  • Under 1.5 first half goals 72% market William Hill
    1.44 +
  • Falkirk over 0.5 goals 71% market Bet365
    1.40 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.